Big swing to Lib Dems?
Initial results seem to be showing swings of between 4% and 9% to the Lib Dems, but don't place too much store in this because:
a) it's all in safe Labour seats - what will happen in a Tory seat?
b) there are very few Lab-Lib Dem marginals - so in HOC representation terms it's going to make v little difference.
And here comes the Putney result (the old David Mellor seat...) The Tories have won it. What this seems to indicate is that the swing to the Lib Dem is happening to an extent in the Lab-Tory marginals as well, but there may be a big swing to the Tories in the key marginals as well - or indeed a 'double swing' from Lab to Lib Dems and Tories. This could really hit Labour hard and we could be looking at something tighter than a Lab majority of 66...
a) it's all in safe Labour seats - what will happen in a Tory seat?
b) there are very few Lab-Lib Dem marginals - so in HOC representation terms it's going to make v little difference.
And here comes the Putney result (the old David Mellor seat...) The Tories have won it. What this seems to indicate is that the swing to the Lib Dem is happening to an extent in the Lab-Tory marginals as well, but there may be a big swing to the Tories in the key marginals as well - or indeed a 'double swing' from Lab to Lib Dems and Tories. This could really hit Labour hard and we could be looking at something tighter than a Lab majority of 66...
2 Comments:
I think Donald Kennedy is a key factor here. It is just a shame that the LibDems policy on drug legalisation was almost entirely buried amongst this nonsense about free care for the elderly.
I think free care for the elderly is one of the centrepieces of the Lib Dems' policy.
Post a Comment
<< Home